A family history of breast cancer will not predict female early onset breast cancer in a population-based setting
2008

Family History and Early Onset Breast Cancer

Sample size: 1987 publication 10 minutes Evidence: moderate

Author Information

Author(s): de Bock Geertruida H, Jacobi Catharina E, Seynaeve Caroline, Krol-Warmerdam Elly MM, Blom Jannet, van Asperen Christi J, Cornelisse Cees J, Klijn Jan GM, Devilee Peter, Tollenaar Rob AEM, Brekelmans Cecile TM, van Houwelingen Johannes C

Primary Institution: Leiden University Medical Center

Hypothesis

Does a family history of breast cancer predict early onset breast cancer in women?

Conclusion

Family history criteria may lead to unnecessary screening of women who are unlikely to develop early breast cancer.

Supporting Evidence

  • Having at least 2 cases of breast cancer in first-degree relatives significantly increases risk.
  • The positive predictive value for breast cancer before age 30 is only 1% even with family history.
  • Bilateral breast cancer in a sister is strongly associated with early onset breast cancer.

Takeaway

If your family has a lot of breast cancer, you might need to get checked earlier, but not everyone with a family history will get it.

Methodology

The study analyzed data from 1,987 women with and without breast cancer regarding their family history and age of diagnosis.

Potential Biases

Potential bias due to dependency between women in families with multiple sisters.

Limitations

The study relied on self-reported family history, which may be underreported or inaccurate.

Participant Demographics

Women with and without breast cancer, selected based on having at least one sister with breast cancer.

Statistical Information

P-Value

p<0.05

Confidence Interval

95% CI: 1.12–10.08

Statistical Significance

p<0.05

Digital Object Identifier (DOI)

10.1186/1471-2407-8-203

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