Pre-operative risk scores for the prediction of outcome in elderly people who require emergency surgery
2007

Predicting Outcomes in Elderly Patients Needing Emergency Surgery

publication Evidence: moderate

Author Information

Author(s): Rix Thomas E, Bates Tom

Primary Institution: Eastbourne District General Hospital, Eastbourne, East Sussex, UK

Hypothesis

Is there a reliable and accurate scoring system to help decide if an elderly person being considered for an emergency laparotomy will be made better or worse by surgery?

Conclusion

Risk scores may be helpful in sick elderly patients needing emergency abdominal surgery but an experienced clinical opinion is still essential.

Supporting Evidence

  • Risk scores can help predict outcomes for elderly patients needing emergency surgery.
  • The ASA score is commonly used but is subjective and may not always be accurate.
  • Many scoring systems require information that is not available in emergency situations.

Takeaway

Doctors use special scores to help decide if elderly patients should have emergency surgery, but they still need to use their judgment.

Methodology

A Medline search was performed to identify predictive risk-scores relevant to sick elderly patients in whom emergency surgery might be life-saving.

Potential Biases

The ASA score is subjective and may vary between observers, which can introduce bias.

Limitations

Many risk scores are not specific to elderly patients and often require information that may not be available in emergency situations.

Participant Demographics

Focus on elderly patients requiring emergency surgery.

Statistical Information

P-Value

p<0.001

Statistical Significance

p<0.001

Digital Object Identifier (DOI)

10.1186/1749-7922-2-16

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